Evidence trail · Reading library

What the literature establishes, and where it stops

A close reading of the papers behind the Stargazer v2 argument: what each one shows, read from the PDF with the page of every number, and why together they leave the problem open.

The thesis the reading has to support

Thesis

    Four groups, four objections

    The library is not organised by topic for convenience: each group answers a different objection a reviewer will raise.

    Synthesis matrix

    The six measurement and estimation papers, the project's own pilot bench, and what a release gate would need. Read across the last row: no paper predicts every cost dimension across a heterogeneous fleet, at release time.

    measured reported from runs predicted an output of the method input a feature, not predicted controlled held fixed or removed inferred explained but not measured — not covered

    Each cell carries the page (or slide) of the PDF it was read on; the pilot row links to the Experiments page.

    The papers

    One card per paper, in reading-library order. Small grey marks after a number give the page of the PDF it was read on. Links go to the DOI, arXiv or the paper's official page.

    What no paper covers

    The gap

    The open risk to this statement is listed under open risks.

    What the close reading changed

    Reading the PDFs, rather than abstracts and summaries, corrected several claims already recorded in this repository. The files listed are not edited by this page; follow-up changes are tracked separately.

    Open risks and reading caveats

    Suggested reading order

      Relation to the MSR-study literature

      The mining study rests on a second body of work, on bugs in deep-learning and LLM software. Those papers are not part of this close reading; their roles below are summarised from the bibliography. Group D above is where the two bodies of work meet.

      Full bibliography, by theme: References. How the literature backs the search terms: Literature Validation. The Round 1 summary of this library: Dossier, §7.